Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2025-11-23 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 5 Calgary Flames
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 50.1%
CGY: 49.9%
Expected Goals
VAN: 2.95
CGY: 3.20
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-27-5 | 0.875 SV% | 3.70 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
| Stat | VAN | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.872 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.758 | 0.890 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • VAN at home vs CGY: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | CGY 7 - 3 VAN | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-11-23 | VAN 2 - 5 CGY | CGY | VAN |
| 2025-10-09 | VAN 5 - 1 CGY | VAN | VAN |
| 2025-03-12 | CGY 3 - 4 VAN | VAN | CGY |
| 2024-12-31 | CGY 3 - 1 VAN | CGY | CGY |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 5 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.0 - 3.2
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.