Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-11-23 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 5 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

VAN: 49.3%

CGY: 50.7%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.02

CGY: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • VAN at home vs CGY: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CGY 7 - 3 VAN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-23	VAN 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-10-09	VAN 5 - 1 CGY	VAN	VAN
2025-03-12	CGY 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	CGY
2024-12-31	CGY 3 - 1 VAN	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	22	0	1.80
1	CGY	9	1	1.00
2	VAN	8	0	0.27
2	CGY	14	1	0.85
3	VAN	21	1	1.39
3	CGY	11	4	1.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 5 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3