Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-11-24 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

NJD: 58.1%

DET: 41.9%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.50

DET: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs DET: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	DET 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-08	NJD 0 - 3 DET	DET	NJD
2025-11-24	NJD 4 - 3 DET	NJD	NJD
2025-04-16	NJD 2 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2024-11-29	DET 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	15	0	1.33
1	DET	15	1	1.46
2	NJD	8	0	0.41
2	DET	23	0	1.05
3	NJD	7	0	0.32
3	DET	24	4	2.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9