Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2025-11-24 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 45.0%
DET: 55.0%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.51
DET: 2.66
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | NJD | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.873 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.908 | 0.925 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs DET: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | DET 3 - 5 NJD | NJD | NJD |
| 2026-03-08 | NJD 0 - 3 DET | DET | NJD |
| 2025-11-24 | NJD 4 - 3 DET | NJD | DET |
| 2025-04-16 | NJD 2 - 5 DET | DET | DET |
| 2024-11-29 | DET 4 - 5 NJD | NJD | NJD |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.5 - 2.7
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