St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-11-24 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NYR: 52.8%

STL: 47.2%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.14

STL: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

Stat	NYR	STL
Season SV%	0.910	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.51	2.87

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	21	19	2	90.5%	2.14	1	0.14
STL	Joel Hofer	21	18	3	85.7%	2.30	2	-0.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NYR at home vs STL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-18	STL 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-11-24	NYR 3 - 2 STL	NYR	NYR
2024-12-15	STL 3 - 2 NYR	STL	STL
2024-11-25	NYR 2 - 5 STL	STL	NYR
2024-03-09	NYR 4 - 0 STL	NYR	NYR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	14	0	0.71
1	STL	7	0	0.41
2	NYR	9	0	0.37
2	STL	9	0	0.45
3	NYR	10	2	1.22
3	STL	15	1	1.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown