Columbus Blue Jackets at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-11-24 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 5 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

WSH: 61.9%

CBJ: 38.1%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.54

CBJ: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • WSH at home vs CBJ: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	CBJ 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	CBJ
2025-12-07	WSH 2 - 0 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-11-24	WSH 5 - 1 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-10-24	CBJ 1 - 5 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-04-13	WSH 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	14	0	0.83
1	CBJ	13	1	0.63
2	WSH	18	0	0.92
2	CBJ	11	1	0.66
3	WSH	14	1	1.09
3	CBJ	12	1	0.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 5 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9