Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-11-24 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 5 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

UTA: 54.1%

VGK: 45.9%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.08

VGK: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • UTA at home vs VGK: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-01	UTA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-29	VGK 5 - 4 UTA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-27	UTA 4 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-24	UTA 4 - 2 VGK	UTA	VGK
2026-04-21	VGK 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	18	0	1.11
1	VGK	11	1	0.73
2	UTA	8	0	0.56
2	VGK	25	3	2.45
3	UTA	15	2	2.07
3	VGK	19	2	1.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 5 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1