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Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-11-24 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 5 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights
🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
UTA: 49.1%
VGK: 50.9%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.09
VGK: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 40%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
StatUTAVGK
Season SV%0.8950.895
Last 5 SV%0.8780.879
SV% vs Opponent0.9470.975
GAA2.682.50
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs VGK: 1-2
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-03-19VGK 0 - 4 UTAUTAVGK
2025-11-24UTA 5 - 1 VGKUTAVGK
2025-11-20UTA 1 - 4 VGKVGKUTA
2024-11-30VGK 0 - 6 UTAUTAUTA
2024-11-15UTA 2 - 4 VGKVGKVGK

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
114:54UTAGoal
116:11UTAGoal
205:24UTAGoal
304:19UTAGoal
315:41UTAGoal
317:43UTAGoal

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Hockey Club

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 5 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9