Ottawa Senators at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-11-24 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 1 Ottawa Senators

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 58.3%

OTT: 41.7%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.42

OTT: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

OTT

Leevi Meriläinen - 5-7-0 | 0.872 SV% | 3.46 GAA

Stat	LAK	OTT
Season SV%	0.913	0.872
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.27	3.46

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	28	27	1	96.4%	2.90	2	1.90
OTT	Leevi Meriläinen	22	20	2	90.9%	2.90	2	0.90

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs OTT: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-24	LAK 2 - 1 OTT	LAK	LAK
2025-11-15	OTT 0 - 1 LAK	LAK	OTT
2024-11-30	LAK 5 - 2 OTT	LAK	LAK
2024-10-14	OTT 8 - 7 LAK	OTT	OTT
2024-03-07	LAK 4 - 3 OTT	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	16	1	1.02
1	OTT	15	0	0.63
2	LAK	7	0	0.43
2	OTT	15	1	1.45
3	LAK	10	1	1.45
3	OTT	14	1	0.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown