Dallas Stars at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-11-25 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 8 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 51.9%

DAL: 48.1%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.17

DAL: 2.70

Total Goals

Median: 5.1

Over 5.5: 39%

Over 6.5: 25%

EDM

Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • EDM at home vs DAL: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	DAL 7 - 2 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-11-25	EDM 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	EDM
2025-11-04	DAL 4 - 3 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-05-29	DAL 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-05-27	EDM 4 - 1 DAL	EDM	EDM

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 8 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.2 - 2.7