Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-11-26 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 6 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 56.7%
NSH: 43.3%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.63
NSH: 2.47
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 45%
Over 6.5: 32%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 28-21-8 | 0.894 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | DET | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.884 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.909 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • DET at home vs NSH: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | NSH 2 - 4 DET | DET | NSH |
| 2025-11-26 | DET 3 - 6 NSH | NSH | DET |
| 2024-10-19 | NSH 2 - 5 DET | DET | NSH |
| 2024-10-12 | DET 3 - 0 NSH | DET | NSH |
| 2024-03-23 | NSH 1 - 0 DET | NSH | NSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:48 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 05:30 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 16:34 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 02:05 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 02:20 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 03:04 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 14:14 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 14:42 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 18:45 | NSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 6 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.6 - 2.5
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