Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-11-26 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 6 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 60.2%
NSH: 39.8%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.45
NSH: 3.33
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 49%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • DET at home vs NSH: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | NSH 2 - 4 DET | DET | NSH |
| 2025-11-26 | DET 3 - 6 NSH | NSH | DET |
| 2024-10-19 | NSH 2 - 5 DET | DET | NSH |
| 2024-10-12 | DET 3 - 0 NSH | DET | NSH |
| 2024-03-23 | NSH 1 - 0 DET | NSH | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | 13 | 2 | 1.38 |
| 1 | NSH | 16 | 1 | 1.03 |
| 2 | DET | 15 | 0 | 0.97 |
| 2 | NSH | 16 | 0 | 0.74 |
| 3 | DET | 18 | 0 | 0.75 |
| 3 | NSH | 11 | 4 | 1.89 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 6 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.4 - 3.3
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.