Philadelphia Flyers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2025-11-26 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 2 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 63.0%
PHI: 37.0%
Expected Goals
FLA: 4.52
PHI: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 74%
Over 6.5: 61%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | FLA | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.868 | 0.931 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • FLA at home vs PHI: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | FLA 2 - 4 PHI | PHI | FLA |
| 2025-10-13 | PHI 5 - 2 FLA | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-10-09 | FLA 2 - 1 PHI | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-01-13 | PHI 4 - 3 FLA | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-05 | PHI 5 - 7 FLA | FLA | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:21 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 11:13 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 07:57 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 05:16 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:35 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:14 | PHI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 7.4
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 2 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 4.5 - 2.9