Boston Bruins at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2025-11-26 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 1 - 3 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 60.3%
BOS: 39.7%
Expected Goals
NYI: 2.77
BOS: 2.79
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 48%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | NYI | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.889 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.839 | 0.948 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NYI at home vs BOS: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | NYI 1 - 3 BOS | BOS | NYI |
| 2025-11-04 | NYI 3 - 4 BOS | BOS | NYI |
| 2025-10-28 | BOS 5 - 2 NYI | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-02-27 | BOS 1 - 2 NYI | NYI | BOS |
| 2025-01-05 | BOS 4 - 5 NYI | NYI | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:23 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 04:41 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 00:43 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 10:21 | BOS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 1 - 3 Boston Bruins
Expected: 2.8 - 2.8