Boston Bruins at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-11-26 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 1 - 3 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 51.7%

BOS: 48.3%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.41

BOS: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs BOS: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	NYI 1 - 3 BOS	BOS	NYI
2025-11-04	NYI 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	NYI
2025-10-28	BOS 5 - 2 NYI	BOS	NYI
2025-02-27	BOS 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-01-05	BOS 4 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	17	1	0.90
1	BOS	10	1	0.55
2	NYI	16	2	1.12
2	BOS	9	0	0.42
3	NYI	30	2	2.55
3	BOS	5	0	0.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 1 - 3 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0