Buffalo Sabres at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2025-11-26 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 62.6%
BUF: 37.4%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.47
BUF: 2.86
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | PIT | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.886 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.855 | 0.871 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PIT at home vs BUF: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | PIT 1 - 5 BUF | BUF | PIT |
| 2026-02-05 | BUF 2 - 5 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-11-26 | PIT 4 - 2 BUF | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-03-27 | BUF 7 - 3 PIT | BUF | PIT |
| 2025-01-17 | BUF 2 - 5 PIT | PIT | BUF |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.5 - 2.9
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