Winnipeg Jets at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2025-11-26 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 4 - 3 Winnipeg Jets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 66.1%
WPG: 33.9%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.42
WPG: 2.71
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | WSH | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.867 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.857 | 0.960 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WSH at home vs WPG: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | WPG 5 - 1 WSH | WPG | WSH |
| 2025-11-26 | WSH 4 - 3 WPG | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-03-25 | WPG 3 - 2 WSH | WPG | WSH |
| 2025-02-01 | WSH 4 - 5 WPG | WPG | WSH |
| 2024-03-24 | WSH 3 - 0 WPG | WSH | WSH |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 66.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 4 - 3 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.4 - 2.7
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