Winnipeg Jets at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2025-11-26 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 4 - 3 Winnipeg Jets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 60.9%
WPG: 39.1%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.35
WPG: 2.59
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | WSH | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.857 | 0.960 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • WSH at home vs WPG: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | WPG 5 - 1 WSH | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-11-26 | WSH 4 - 3 WPG | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-03-25 | WPG 3 - 2 WSH | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-02-01 | WSH 4 - 5 WPG | WPG | WSH |
| 2024-03-24 | WSH 3 - 0 WPG | WSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:38 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 14:21 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 19:38 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 01:24 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 05:22 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 05:25 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 15:11 | WSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 4 - 3 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.3 - 2.6