New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-11-26 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 4 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (73% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 72.8%

NYR: 27.2%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.26

NYR: 2.38

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • CAR at home vs NYR: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	15	0	0.88
1	NYR	14	2	1.16
2	CAR	16	0	1.06
2	NYR	14	0	0.58
3	CAR	24	2	1.84
3	NYR	7	1	0.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 72.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 4 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.3 - 2.4