Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-11-26 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 58.1%

TOR: 41.9%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.30

TOR: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • CBJ at home vs TOR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	CBJ 1 - 2 TOR	TOR	CBJ
2025-11-20	TOR 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-10-29	CBJ 6 - 3 TOR	CBJ	CBJ
2025-04-05	TOR 5 - 0 CBJ	TOR	CBJ
2025-01-22	TOR 1 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	17	0	0.74
1	TOR	9	0	0.68
2	CBJ	15	1	1.08
2	TOR	15	0	0.84
3	CBJ	16	1	1.34
3	TOR	11	1	0.74
4	CBJ	5	0	0.42
4	TOR	5	0	0.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9