Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2025-11-26 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 51.9%
TOR: 48.1%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.36
TOR: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 7.1
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 60%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 26-19-9 | 0.908 SV% | 2.60 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.888 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.925 | 0.939 |
| GAA | 2.62 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • CBJ at home vs TOR: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | CBJ 1 - 2 TOR | TOR | CBJ |
| 2025-11-20 | TOR 2 - 3 CBJ | CBJ | TOR |
| 2025-10-29 | CBJ 6 - 3 TOR | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-04-05 | TOR 5 - 0 CBJ | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-01-22 | TOR 1 - 5 CBJ | CBJ | TOR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0
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