Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2025-11-26 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 58.6%
TOR: 41.4%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.16
TOR: 2.76
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.928 | 0.910 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.925 | 0.939 |
| GAA | 2.62 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • CBJ at home vs TOR: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | CBJ 1 - 2 TOR | TOR | CBJ |
| 2025-11-20 | TOR 2 - 3 CBJ | CBJ | TOR |
| 2025-10-29 | CBJ 6 - 3 TOR | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-04-05 | TOR 5 - 0 CBJ | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-01-22 | TOR 1 - 5 CBJ | CBJ | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 16:43 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 13:30 | CBJ | Goal |
| 4 | 04:40 | TOR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8