Montreal Canadiens at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-11-26 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 54.7%

MTL: 45.3%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.75

MTL: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs MTL: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	UTA 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	UTA
2025-11-08	MTL 6 - 2 UTA	MTL	MTL
2025-01-14	UTA 3 - 5 MTL	MTL	UTA
2024-11-26	MTL 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	11	1	0.79
1	MTL	9	0	0.99
2	UTA	19	2	2.22
2	MTL	6	0	0.59
3	UTA	22	0	1.48
3	MTL	11	2	1.09

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.8 - 3.1