Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2025-11-26 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 58.2%
DAL: 41.8%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.13
DAL: 3.90
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 69%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | SEA | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.868 | — |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • SEA at home vs DAL: 0-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | DAL 4 - 1 SEA | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-11-26 | SEA 2 - 3 DAL | DAL | SEA |
| 2025-11-09 | DAL 2 - 1 SEA | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-03-31 | SEA 1 - 3 DAL | DAL | SEA |
| 2025-03-29 | SEA 1 - 5 DAL | DAL | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:06 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 05:52 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 06:13 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 14:16 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 00:18 | SEA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.1 - 3.9