New York Rangers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-11-28 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 6 New York Rangers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

BOS: 42.5%

NYR: 57.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.89

NYR: 3.61

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

BOS

Joonas Korpisalo - 6-8-0 | 0.882 SV% | 3.60 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Stat	BOS	NYR
Season SV%	0.882	0.910
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.60	2.51

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Joonas Korpisalo	37	31	6	83.8%	4.05	3	-1.95
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	21	19	2	90.5%	2.22	1	0.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 31% • BOS at home vs NYR: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	BOS 3 - 0 NYR	BOS	NYR
2026-01-26	NYR 4 - 3 BOS	NYR	BOS
2026-01-10	BOS 10 - 2 NYR	BOS	BOS
2025-11-28	BOS 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-02-05	NYR 3 - 2 BOS	NYR	NYR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	14	0	0.56
1	NYR	18	0	0.90
2	BOS	8	0	0.67
2	NYR	20	2	1.69
3	BOS	15	1	0.99
3	NYR	14	1	1.47

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown