Colorado Avalanche at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-11-28 • Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Colorado Avalanche (SO)
🚨 Upset Win (68% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 32.0%
COL: 68.0%
Expected Goals
MIN: 2.85
COL: 3.27
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
| Stat | MIN | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.968 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.978 | 0.945 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 76% • MIN at home vs COL: 3-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | COL | ||
| 2026-05-15 | COL | ||
| 2026-05-13 | COL 4 - 3 MIN | COL | COL |
| 2026-05-11 | MIN 2 - 5 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-05-09 | MIN 5 - 1 COL | MIN | COL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.8 - 3.3
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