Colorado Avalanche at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-11-28 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Colorado Avalanche (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (61% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 38.8%

COL: 61.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.94

COL: 3.48

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • MIN at home vs COL: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-13	COL 4 - 3 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-11	MIN 2 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-05-09	MIN 5 - 1 COL	MIN	COL
2026-05-05	COL 5 - 2 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-03	COL 9 - 6 MIN	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	16	0	0.68
1	COL	24	2	1.67
2	MIN	26	2	2.23
2	COL	12	0	0.49
3	MIN	12	0	0.40
3	COL	21	1	1.63
4	MIN	0	0	0.00
4	COL	3	0	0.15
5	MIN	3	2	1.83
5	COL	3	1	1.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5