Calgary Flames at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-11-28 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 5 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Loss (68% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 67.7%

CGY: 32.3%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.42

CGY: 2.62

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 38%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA

CGY

Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • FLA at home vs CGY: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	CGY 4 - 1 FLA	CGY	CGY
2025-11-28	FLA 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	FLA
2025-03-01	FLA 3 - 0 CGY	FLA	FLA
2024-12-14	CGY 3 - 0 FLA	CGY	CGY
2024-03-09	FLA 5 - 1 CGY	FLA	FLA

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 5 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.4 - 2.6