Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2025-11-28 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 3 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 62.3%
PHI: 37.7%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.54
PHI: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 57%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | NYI | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.897 | 0.955 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • NYI at home vs PHI: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | NYI 1 - 4 PHI | PHI | NYI |
| 2026-01-26 | PHI 0 - 4 NYI | NYI | PHI |
| 2025-11-28 | NYI 3 - 4 PHI | PHI | NYI |
| 2025-10-25 | PHI 4 - 3 NYI | PHI | NYI |
| 2025-04-12 | PHI 4 - 3 NYI | PHI | PHI |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 3 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.5 - 2.9
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