Ottawa Senators at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-11-28 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 57.4%
OTT: 42.6%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.84
OTT: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | STL | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.893 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs OTT: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | OTT 1 - 2 STL | STL | OTT |
| 2025-11-28 | STL 4 - 3 OTT | STL | STL |
| 2025-01-03 | STL 4 - 0 OTT | STL | STL |
| 2024-10-29 | OTT 8 - 1 STL | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-03-21 | OTT 2 - 5 STL | STL | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 18:26 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 10:11 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:59 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 09:19 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 07:31 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 05:33 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 02:01 | STL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 2.8 - 3.0