Ottawa Senators at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-11-28 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

STL: 53.7%

OTT: 46.3%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.16

OTT: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • STL at home vs OTT: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	OTT 1 - 2 STL	STL	OTT
2025-11-28	STL 4 - 3 OTT	STL	STL
2025-01-03	STL 4 - 0 OTT	STL	STL
2024-10-29	OTT 8 - 1 STL	OTT	OTT
2024-03-21	OTT 2 - 5 STL	STL	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	8	0	0.75
1	OTT	7	1	0.77
2	STL	17	1	0.97
2	OTT	14	3	1.29
3	STL	17	1	1.37
3	OTT	19	1	1.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9