Los Angeles Kings at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-11-28 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 4 Los Angeles Kings (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

ANA: 47.4%

LAK: 52.6%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.21

LAK: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA

Ville Husso - 5-3-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.25 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Stat	ANA	LAK
Season SV%	0.884	0.913
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.25	2.27

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Ville Husso	28	24	4	85.7%	3.03	1	-0.97
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	33	27	6	81.8%	5.52	4	-0.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • ANA at home vs LAK: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	ANA 2 - 1 LAK	ANA	LAK
2026-01-16	LAK 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	LAK
2025-12-27	LAK 6 - 1 ANA	LAK	LAK
2025-11-28	ANA 5 - 4 LAK	ANA	LAK
2025-04-10	LAK 6 - 1 ANA	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	11	0	0.41
1	LAK	14	1	1.25
2	ANA	19	0	1.63
2	LAK	10	0	0.40
3	ANA	14	2	1.18
3	LAK	13	0	0.97
4	ANA	4	0	0.41
4	LAK	2	0	0.23
5	ANA	3	2	1.88
5	LAK	2	0	0.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3