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Vancouver Canucks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-11-28 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks
🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
SJS: 39.7%
VAN: 60.3%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.23
VAN: 3.40
Total Goals
Median: 7.7
Over 5.5: 79%
Over 6.5: 67%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-26-5 | 0.877 SV% | 3.65 GAA
StatSJSVAN
Season SV%0.8960.885
Last 5 SV%0.8620.872
SV% vs Opponent0.9210.842
GAA3.363.41
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • SJS at home vs VAN: 2-4
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-04-11SJS 3 - 4 VANVANSJS
2026-01-27VAN 2 - 5 SJSSJSVAN
2025-12-27VAN 3 - 6 SJSSJSVAN
2025-11-28SJS 3 - 2 VANSJSVAN
2025-04-14VAN 2 - 1 SJSVANVAN

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
104:28VANGoal
109:25SJSGoal
203:04VANGoal
214:03SJSGoal
215:17SJSGoal

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for Vancouver Canucks at San Jose Sharks

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.2 - 3.4