Vancouver Canucks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-11-28 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

SJS: 52.3%

VAN: 47.7%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.22

VAN: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SJS at home vs VAN: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SJS 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	SJS
2026-01-27	VAN 2 - 5 SJS	SJS	SJS
2025-12-27	VAN 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	SJS
2025-11-28	SJS 3 - 2 VAN	SJS	SJS
2025-04-14	VAN 2 - 1 SJS	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	15	0	0.63
1	VAN	10	0	0.36
2	SJS	13	1	1.49
2	VAN	23	1	2.47
3	SJS	6	1	0.56
3	VAN	14	2	1.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1