Winnipeg Jets at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-11-28 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CAR: 74.2%

WPG: 25.8%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.91

WPG: 2.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CAR

Brandon Bussi - 13-2-1 | 0.901 SV% | 2.33 GAA

WPG

Thomas Milic - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Stat	CAR	WPG
Season SV%	0.901	0.000
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.33	0.00

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Brandon Bussi	13	12	1	92.3%	1.61	1	0.61
WPG	Thomas Milic	35	30	5	85.7%	3.66	3	-1.34

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs WPG: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-28	CAR 5 - 1 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-11-21	WPG 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-09	CAR 4 - 2 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-02-04	WPG 3 - 0 CAR	WPG	CAR
2024-03-02	CAR 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	1	1.53
1	WPG	8	1	0.72
2	CAR	12	0	0.47
2	WPG	6	0	0.37
3	CAR	22	2	1.65
3	WPG	10	0	0.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown