Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-11-28 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 52.3%

PIT: 47.7%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.08

PIT: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CBJ at home vs PIT: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	PIT 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	PIT
2026-01-04	CBJ 4 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-28	CBJ 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	CBJ
2025-10-25	PIT 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-03-21	PIT 6 - 3 CBJ	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	13	1	1.14
1	PIT	15	1	1.15
2	CBJ	17	0	1.10
2	PIT	13	2	1.28
3	CBJ	11	2	0.97
3	PIT	12	1	0.60
4	CBJ	0	0	0.00
4	PIT	1	1	0.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1