Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2025-11-28 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 59.7%
PIT: 40.3%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.22
PIT: 2.78
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.928 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.866 | 0.818 |
| GAA | 2.62 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • CBJ at home vs PIT: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | PIT 3 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | PIT |
| 2026-01-04 | CBJ 4 - 5 PIT | PIT | CBJ |
| 2025-11-28 | CBJ 3 - 4 PIT | PIT | CBJ |
| 2025-10-25 | PIT 4 - 5 CBJ | CBJ | PIT |
| 2025-03-21 | PIT 6 - 3 CBJ | PIT | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:40 | CBJ | Goal |
| 1 | 06:10 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 19:56 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 03:51 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 08:28 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 00:13 | CBJ | Goal |
| 4 | 00:59 | PIT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8