Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-11-28 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 Nashville Predators

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 49.0%

NSH: 51.0%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.18

NSH: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Stat	CHI	NSH
Season SV%	0.873	0.897
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	4.02	2.93

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	29	25	4	86.2%	3.54	2	-0.46
NSH	Juuse Saros	27	24	3	88.9%	3.36	1	0.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 79% • CHI at home vs NSH: 2-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	CHI 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	CHI
2026-02-26	NSH 4 - 2 CHI	NSH	NSH
2026-01-10	NSH 0 - 3 CHI	CHI	NSH
2025-11-28	CHI 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-03-08	NSH 3 - 2 CHI	NSH	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	15	0	1.21
1	NSH	10	0	0.55
2	CHI	13	1	1.20
2	NSH	22	1	1.54
3	CHI	19	0	0.95
3	NSH	13	1	1.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown