Utah Hockey Club at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-11-28 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

DAL: 45.8%

UTA: 54.2%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.10

UTA: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 38% • DAL at home vs UTA: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-16	DAL 3 - 6 UTA	UTA	DAL
2026-01-31	UTA 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	UTA
2026-01-15	UTA 2 - 1 DAL	UTA	UTA
2025-11-28	DAL 4 - 3 UTA	DAL	UTA
2025-04-12	DAL 3 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	14	3	1.35
1	UTA	8	1	0.96
2	DAL	13	2	1.52
2	UTA	13	1	1.13
3	DAL	10	4	1.69
3	UTA	18	0	1.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2