Montreal Canadiens at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-11-29 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 7 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

COL: 74.4%

MTL: 25.6%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.78

MTL: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • COL at home vs MTL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	MTL 7 - 3 COL	MTL	MTL
2025-11-29	COL 7 - 2 MTL	COL	COL
2025-03-22	MTL 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-01-04	COL 1 - 2 MTL	MTL	COL
2024-03-26	COL 1 - 2 MTL	MTL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	20	1	1.16
1	MTL	17	0	1.24
2	COL	18	0	1.49
2	MTL	8	0	0.50
3	COL	17	0	1.15
3	MTL	9	0	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.5

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 7 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 4.8 - 2.7