Detroit Red Wings at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-11-29 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Detroit Red Wings (SO)

Win Probability

BOS: 65.3%

DET: 34.7%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.71

DET: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • BOS at home vs DET: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	DET 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	DET
2026-01-13	BOS 3 - 0 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-12-02	DET 5 - 4 BOS	DET	DET
2025-11-29	BOS 3 - 2 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-03-29	DET 2 - 1 BOS	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	9	1	0.66
1	DET	11	1	1.05
2	BOS	16	0	0.97
2	DET	11	0	0.77
3	BOS	9	1	0.86
3	DET	16	1	1.42
4	BOS	2	0	0.16
4	DET	7	0	0.60
5	BOS	2	1	0.91
5	DET	3	0	0.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.7 - 3.0