Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-11-29 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 54.7%

PHI: 45.3%

Expected Goals

NJD: 2.91

PHI: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NJD at home vs PHI: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	NJD 1 - 5 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-11-29	NJD 3 - 5 PHI	PHI	NJD
2025-11-22	PHI 6 - 3 NJD	PHI	PHI
2025-03-09	PHI 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	PHI
2025-01-29	NJD 5 - 0 PHI	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	14	1	0.71
1	PHI	10	0	0.80
2	NJD	21	1	1.46
2	PHI	15	2	1.29
3	NJD	14	0	0.80
3	PHI	14	1	1.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2