Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-11-29 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 54.3%

WPG: 45.7%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.09

WPG: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 41%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

Stat	NSH	WPG
Season SV%	0.875	0.880
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.29	3.49

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Justus Annunen	27	22	5	81.5%	5.09	7	0.09
WPG	Eric Comrie	23	21	2	91.3%	2.08	0	0.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NSH at home vs WPG: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	WPG 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	WPG
2025-11-29	NSH 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	NSH
2025-10-18	WPG 4 - 1 NSH	WPG	WPG
2025-02-27	NSH 2 - 1 WPG	NSH	NSH
2025-01-07	WPG 5 - 2 NSH	WPG	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	9	0	0.68
1	WPG	13	2	1.35
2	NSH	15	0	0.63
2	WPG	11	1	0.91
3	NSH	15	0	0.76
3	WPG	18	4	2.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown