Buffalo Sabres at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-11-29 • Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 Buffalo Sabres (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 60.8%
BUF: 39.2%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.42
BUF: 2.82
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | MIN | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.895 | — |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • MIN at home vs BUF: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | BUF 4 - 5 MIN | MIN | BUF |
| 2025-11-29 | MIN 2 - 3 BUF | BUF | MIN |
| 2025-03-22 | MIN 4 - 1 BUF | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-11-27 | BUF 0 - 1 MIN | MIN | BUF |
| 2024-02-17 | MIN 2 - 3 BUF | BUF | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:37 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 12:42 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 14:05 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 06:01 | MIN | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | MIN | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | MIN | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | MIN | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | MIN | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | MIN | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8