Buffalo Sabres at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-11-29 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 Buffalo Sabres (SO)

Win Probability

MIN: 49.7%

BUF: 50.3%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.46

BUF: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MIN at home vs BUF: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	BUF 4 - 5 MIN	MIN	BUF
2025-11-29	MIN 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-03-22	MIN 4 - 1 BUF	MIN	BUF
2024-11-27	BUF 0 - 1 MIN	MIN	BUF
2024-02-17	MIN 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	18	0	0.83
1	BUF	13	1	0.96
2	MIN	11	2	1.02
2	BUF	16	0	0.92
3	MIN	5	0	0.35
3	BUF	13	0	0.52
4	MIN	2	0	0.17
4	BUF	3	1	0.34
5	MIN	4	2	1.98
5	BUF	4	3	2.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8