San Jose Sharks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-11-29 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 65.9%
SJS: 34.1%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.73
SJS: 2.58
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | VGK | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.870 | 0.787 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • VGK at home vs SJS: 5-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | SJS 2 - 7 VGK | VGK | SJS |
| 2025-12-23 | VGK 7 - 2 SJS | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-11-29 | VGK 4 - 3 SJS | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-10-09 | SJS 3 - 4 VGK | VGK | SJS |
| 2025-01-07 | SJS 2 - 4 VGK | VGK | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:13 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 07:34 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 19:35 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 14:40 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 12:38 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 07:02 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 05:36 | VGK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.7 - 2.6