San Jose Sharks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-11-29 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

VGK: 81.1%

SJS: 18.9%

Expected Goals

VGK: 4.18

SJS: 2.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 91% • VGK at home vs SJS: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-11	SJS 2 - 7 VGK	VGK	SJS
2025-12-23	VGK 7 - 2 SJS	VGK	VGK
2025-11-29	VGK 4 - 3 SJS	VGK	VGK
2025-10-09	SJS 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-07	SJS 2 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	18	2	1.65
1	SJS	13	0	0.38
2	VGK	15	2	1.59
2	SJS	15	2	1.40
3	VGK	10	1	1.05
3	SJS	7	0	0.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 81.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 4.2 - 2.2