Calgary Flames at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-11-30 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 0 Calgary Flames (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CAR: 72.0%

CGY: 28.0%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.05

CGY: 2.32

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CAR

Brandon Bussi - 13-2-1 | 0.901 SV% | 2.33 GAA

CGY

Devin Cooley - 4-4-2 | 0.914 SV% | 2.40 GAA

Stat	CAR	CGY
Season SV%	0.901	0.914
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.33	2.40

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Brandon Bussi	16	16	0	100.0%	1.71	1	1.71
CGY	Devin Cooley	17	16	1	94.1%	3.19	2	2.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs CGY: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	CGY 5 - 4 CAR	CGY	CAR
2025-11-30	CAR 1 - 0 CGY	CAR	CAR
2025-03-02	CAR 2 - 1 CGY	CAR	CAR
2024-10-24	CGY 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-03-10	CAR 7 - 2 CGY	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	13	0	0.80
1	CGY	7	0	0.22
2	CAR	13	1	1.23
2	CGY	12	0	0.69
3	CAR	10	0	0.48
3	CGY	12	1	0.81
4	CAR	5	1	0.68
4	CGY	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 0 Calgary Flames

Expected: 4.0 - 2.3