Ottawa Senators at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-11-30 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 6 - 1 Ottawa Senators
🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 42.3%
OTT: 57.7%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.18
OTT: 3.13
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | DAL | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.931 | 0.847 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DAL at home vs OTT: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | DAL 6 - 1 OTT | DAL | OTT |
| 2025-11-11 | OTT 2 - 3 DAL | DAL | OTT |
| 2025-01-12 | OTT 3 - 2 DAL | OTT | DAL |
| 2025-01-02 | DAL 4 - 2 OTT | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-02-22 | OTT 4 - 1 DAL | OTT | OTT |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 6 - 1 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1
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