Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-12-01 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

PHI: 47.3%

PIT: 52.7%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.11

PIT: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • PHI at home vs PIT: 6-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-29	PHI 1 - 0 PIT	PHI	PIT
2026-04-27	PIT 3 - 2 PHI	PIT	PHI
2026-04-25	PHI 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	PHI
2026-04-22	PHI 5 - 2 PIT	PHI	PHI
2026-04-20	PIT 0 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	13	0	0.84
1	PIT	12	1	0.74
2	PHI	10	1	0.96
2	PIT	11	0	0.72
3	PHI	18	1	1.13
3	PIT	17	2	1.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1