Winnipeg Jets at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2025-12-01 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 5 - 1 Winnipeg Jets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 52.9%
WPG: 47.1%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.27
WPG: 2.63
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | BUF | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.847 | 0.867 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BUF at home vs WPG: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 | WPG 4 - 1 BUF | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-12-01 | BUF 5 - 1 WPG | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-23 | WPG 3 - 5 BUF | BUF | WPG |
| 2024-12-05 | BUF 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-03-03 | BUF 2 - 5 WPG | WPG | BUF |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 5 - 1 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.3 - 2.6
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