Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-12-01 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 1 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

STL: 54.8%

ANA: 45.2%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.06

ANA: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

ANA

Ville Husso - 5-3-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.25 GAA

Stat	STL	ANA
Season SV%	0.869	0.884
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.56	3.25

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	26	22	4	84.6%	2.86	2	-1.14
ANA	Ville Husso	22	21	1	95.5%	3.21	5	2.21

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • STL at home vs ANA: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	ANA 2 - 6 STL	STL	ANA
2026-03-08	ANA 0 - 4 STL	STL	ANA
2025-12-01	STL 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	STL
2025-03-16	STL 7 - 2 ANA	STL	STL
2025-03-07	ANA 3 - 4 STL	STL	STL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	10	2	0.80
1	ANA	15	1	1.02
2	STL	9	0	0.72
2	ANA	16	0	0.74
3	STL	17	3	1.70
3	ANA	9	1	1.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown