Boston Bruins at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-12-02 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 4 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

DET: 62.6%

BOS: 37.4%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.72

BOS: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • DET at home vs BOS: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	DET 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	DET
2026-01-13	BOS 3 - 0 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-12-02	DET 5 - 4 BOS	DET	DET
2025-11-29	BOS 3 - 2 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-03-29	DET 2 - 1 BOS	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	10	0	0.47
1	BOS	12	1	0.61
2	DET	22	0	1.34
2	BOS	13	1	0.72
3	DET	12	2	1.14
3	BOS	24	1	1.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 4 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.7 - 2.9