Calgary Flames at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-12-02 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 5 - 1 Calgary Flames

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 55.0%

CGY: 45.0%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.23

CGY: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

CGY

Devin Cooley - 4-4-2 | 0.914 SV% | 2.40 GAA

Stat	NSH	CGY
Season SV%	0.897	0.914
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.93	2.40

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	28	27	1	96.4%	2.06	2	1.06
CGY	Devin Cooley	28	23	5	82.1%	2.64	0	-2.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NSH at home vs CGY: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	CGY 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	CGY
2025-12-02	NSH 5 - 1 CGY	NSH	NSH
2025-11-01	NSH 4 - 2 CGY	NSH	NSH
2025-01-04	CGY 1 - 4 NSH	NSH	CGY
2024-12-10	NSH 3 - 4 CGY	CGY	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	10	0	0.56
1	CGY	13	1	0.87
2	NSH	14	0	1.12
2	CGY	16	0	0.43
3	NSH	18	0	0.97
3	CGY	12	1	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown