Vancouver Canucks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-12-02 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

COL: 78.0%

VAN: 22.0%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.82

VAN: 2.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 17-1-4 | 0.919 SV% | 2.13 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Stat	COL	VAN
Season SV%	0.919	0.885
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.13	3.41

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Scott Wedgewood	21	20	1	95.2%	2.72	2	1.72
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	31	28	3	90.3%	3.63	3	0.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • COL at home vs VAN: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-01	COL 6 - 8 VAN	VAN	COL
2025-12-02	COL 3 - 1 VAN	COL	COL
2025-11-09	VAN 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-10	COL 1 - 4 VAN	VAN	COL
2025-02-04	VAN 3 - 0 COL	VAN	COL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	19	1	0.92
1	VAN	15	0	0.83
2	COL	22	1	1.63
2	VAN	10	0	0.81
3	COL	10	1	1.08
3	VAN	14	2	1.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 78.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown