Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-12-02 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 0 - 1 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 55.5%

MIN: 44.5%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.19

MIN: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • EDM at home vs MIN: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	EDM 3 - 7 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-12-20	MIN 5 - 2 EDM	MIN	EDM
2025-12-02	EDM 0 - 1 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-01-15	MIN 3 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-12-12	MIN 1 - 7 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	10	0	0.25
1	MIN	13	0	0.51
2	EDM	20	0	1.45
2	MIN	8	0	0.44
3	EDM	20	0	0.76
3	MIN	15	3	1.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 0 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9