Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-12-02 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 61.2%
CHI: 38.8%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.20
CHI: 2.44
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | VGK | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.864 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.850 | 0.893 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • VGK at home vs CHI: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | CHI 3 - 2 VGK | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-12-02 | VGK 4 - 3 CHI | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-28 | CHI 3 - 5 VGK | VGK | CHI |
| 2025-02-27 | VGK 7 - 5 CHI | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-01-18 | CHI 5 - 3 VGK | CHI | CHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:23 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 00:27 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 17:19 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 11:22 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 17:32 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 04:45 | CHI | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | VGK | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | VGK | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | VGK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.2 - 2.4