Dallas Stars at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-12-03 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 0 - 3 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 53.9%

DAL: 46.1%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.10

DAL: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NJD at home vs DAL: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	DAL 4 - 6 NJD	NJD	DAL
2025-12-03	NJD 0 - 3 DAL	DAL	NJD
2025-03-04	DAL 4 - 3 NJD	DAL	DAL
2025-02-22	NJD 2 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-03-14	DAL 2 - 6 NJD	NJD	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	12	1	0.62
1	DAL	11	0	0.65
2	NJD	18	1	1.07
2	DAL	14	0	0.74
3	NJD	14	0	0.67
3	DAL	10	2	1.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 0 - 3 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0