Winnipeg Jets at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2025-12-03 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 2 Winnipeg Jets (SO)

Win Probability

MTL: 52.9%

WPG: 47.1%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.24

WPG: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MTL at home vs WPG: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	WPG 1 - 5 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-12-03	MTL 3 - 2 WPG	MTL	MTL
2025-01-28	MTL 1 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-12-14	WPG 4 - 2 MTL	WPG	WPG
2023-12-18	WPG 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	16	2	1.61
1	WPG	19	1	1.08
2	MTL	16	2	1.51
2	WPG	14	1	0.86
3	MTL	13	1	0.85
3	WPG	12	0	0.36
4	MTL	6	0	0.48
4	WPG	3	0	0.47
5	MTL	3	1	0.97
5	WPG	3	0	0.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1