Buffalo Sabres at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-12-03 • Xfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 58.1%
BUF: 41.9%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.13
BUF: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | PHI | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.667 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • PHI at home vs BUF: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 | BUF 5 - 2 PHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-12-18 | BUF 5 - 3 PHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-12-03 | PHI 5 - 2 BUF | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-04-17 | BUF 5 - 4 PHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-29 | PHI 7 - 4 BUF | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:25 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 09:04 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 08:26 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 04:08 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 12:43 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 11:48 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 01:45 | PHI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0