St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-12-04 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 5 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

BOS: 50.1%

STL: 49.9%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.11

STL: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • BOS at home vs STL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-09	STL 2 - 5 BOS	BOS	STL
2025-12-04	BOS 5 - 2 STL	BOS	BOS
2024-11-16	BOS 2 - 3 STL	STL	BOS
2024-11-12	STL 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	STL
2024-03-11	BOS 1 - 5 STL	STL	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	18	1	1.15
1	STL	19	0	0.96
2	BOS	10	1	0.61
2	STL	18	0	0.98
3	BOS	8	0	0.41
3	STL	21	2	0.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 5 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1