New York Rangers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-12-04 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 2 - 4 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 60.7%

NYR: 39.3%

Expected Goals

OTT: 4.19

NYR: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • OTT at home vs NYR: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-23	NYR 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-01-14	NYR 4 - 8 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-12-04	OTT 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	OTT
2025-03-08	OTT 4 - 3 NYR	OTT	OTT
2025-01-21	NYR 5 - 0 OTT	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	15	1	0.91
1	NYR	10	0	0.60
2	OTT	8	0	0.41
2	NYR	18	2	1.24
3	OTT	20	0	1.20
3	NYR	12	5	2.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 2 - 4 New York Rangers

Expected: 4.2 - 2.7