TBL vs PIT - 2025-12-04
2025-12-04 • Benchmark International Arena
TBL 3 - 4 PIT
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 51.2%
PIT: 48.8%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.20
PIT: 3.10
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 18-7-2 | 0.912 SV% | 2.33 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 14-12-4 | 0.893 SV% | 2.71 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:12 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 07:53 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 09:49 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 18:46 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 01:17 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 11:44 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 17:17 | PIT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
TBL 3 - 4 PIT
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1