Nashville Predators at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-12-04 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 1 - 2 Nashville Predators (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

FLA: 61.2%

NSH: 38.8%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.70

NSH: 2.53

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Stat	FLA	NSH
Season SV%	0.888	0.897
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.80	2.93

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	29	27	2	93.1%	4.12	2	2.12
NSH	Juuse Saros	31	30	1	96.8%	4.15	6	3.15

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • FLA at home vs NSH: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-04	FLA 1 - 2 NSH	NSH	FLA
2025-11-24	NSH 3 - 8 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-02-25	NSH 1 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-11-07	FLA 6 - 2 NSH	FLA	FLA
2024-03-21	FLA 0 - 3 NSH	NSH	FLA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	11	0	0.51
1	NSH	16	0	1.01
2	FLA	22	6	2.83
2	NSH	10	0	0.49
3	FLA	8	0	0.51
3	NSH	19	2	2.19
4	FLA	4	0	0.30
4	NSH	3	0	0.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 1 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.7 - 2.5